The most significant change to the market is the day on market for active listings is increasing significantly when compared to recent months. While this is typical for early fall market, as well as election years, it does mark a change. The Federal Reserve’s recent announcement of plans to decrease interest rates in September could also be a contributing factor to the slow down in the current real estate inventory.
While sales volume for June was strong, volume for July was the lowest in the prior 6 years with 13.6% fewer closings than July 2022. Overall, sales volume for the year is down 36.4%
Most notable is that sales volume is significantly down when compared to the same months in years prior. April saw a 20% decrease in sales volume when compared to April of 2022. The year-to-date sales volume is down approximately 22% when compared to 2022 as well.
It is most notable that there is a significant shortage of homes in inventory, which is putting upward pressure on sales prices. It is also significant that sales volume is returning to pre Covid-19 levels, though sales prices are still up significantly year-over-year. This could be a potential indicator of the market moving closer to a state of balance as higher interest rates push some buyers out of the market.
It is most notable that there is a significant shortage of homes in inventory, which is putting upward pressure on sales prices. This is most likely due to the combination of pent-up demand being released as well as buyers pushing to get under contract in anticipation of rising interest rates. It is also significant that sales volume for the month of April is at a 5-year low and the rate at which home values are increasing is slowing. This could be a potential indicator of the market moving closer to a state of balance as higher interest rates push some buyers out of the market.
Most notably, while sales volume is up 3.8% year-over-year, the first quarter of 2022 has seen sales volume return to more average levels
For the most recent twelve months (02/01/2021-1/31/2022) the MLS reported 2,121 sales with a median sale price of $180,000 and a reported average marketing time of 44 days. For the prior twelve months (02/01/2020-1/31/2021) the MLS reported 1,945 sales with a median sale price of $172,500 and a reported average marketing time of 83 days. This shows an increase in the number of sales of 176 homes or 9.0%. The median sale prices saw a 4.3% increase. There are currently 138 homes on the market with an average marketing time of 127 days. This results in a 0.7-month supply of homes in inventory, which is a significant shortage relative to historical supply demand relationships in this market.
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